CARNEYS CREEK
Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.
Median price
Est.$505,000
Modelled estimate · 2026
Rent yield
Est.3.0%
modelled estimate
Annual growth
Real2.6%
annualised from govt data
Vacancy rate
Est.1.6%
modelled estimate
AI insights for CARNEYS CREEK
Investment analysis, risks & comparisons
CARNEYS CREEK shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.
Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.
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Median rent
Est.$291/wk
modelled estimate · weekly
Demand change
+1.8%
annual shift
Yield × growth index
2.8
combined signal
Net yield (est.)
6.16%
after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance
5-yr growth (CAGR)
+6.7%
est. compound, long-run avg
10-yr growth (CAGR)
+7.2%
est. compound, long-run avg
Rental demand
52 / 100
Moderate demand
Supply pipeline
Real2.9%
new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25
Moderate supply
Dwellings built (QLD)
Real33,060
completed in year to Mar-2026 · ABS 8752.0 (state)
▼ 2.3% vs prior year · 43,284 started
Market overview
CARNEYS CREEK is a QLD suburb offering lower rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.
Highlights
- Rental yield 3.0% with stable tenant demand
- Access to national transport network and amenities
Risk factors
- Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions
Community profile
Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23Median household income
$1,229/wk
$37k taxable p.a.
Renters
16.9%
77.9% owner-occupier
Median age
50.0 yrs
Unemployment
2.1%
ABS SALM (SA2)
Population growth
+1.0% p.a.
Projected growth
+1.1% p.a.
state gov forecast
Socio-economic
4/10
SEIFA IRSAD decile · ABS
Investor-owned
12.0%
of all dwellings (ATO)
Houses
90%
4% apartments
Degree qualified
24.0%
bachelor's or higher (ABS)
Work from home
11.9%
of employed residents (ABS Census)
Median lot size
2.2 ha
Large block
Household size
2.6 persons
avg per dwelling (ABS Census)
Short-term rental
2.2%
Mostly long-term tenants
Market activity
Distance to CBD
83.6 km
Regional
Days on market
77 days
Slower market
Auction clearance
24.8%
Buyer's market
Walkability
0 / 100
Car-dependent
Coastal proximity
71.7 km
Inland
NBN technology
Fixed WirelessRegional — wireless tower
Population density
102/km²
Low density
Schools in postcode 4310
🏫Primary (5)
Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
🎓Secondary (1)
Government · Yrs 7-12 · Inner Regional
ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.
Liveability & safety
Safety index
Safe2.0 offences / 100 persons
Source: QLD Police · 2021-22 (division)
School quality
Average6 schools in postcode area
Source: ACARA My School 2025
Transit access
Car-dependentSource: State GTFS feeds
Gentrification signal
19
/ 100
Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.
Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality
Environmental risk
Flood risk
Source: State GIS flood zone data
Bushfire risk
Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data
Storm risk
Coastal exposure + state climate
Live suburb intelligence
Fetching live data…Location
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