VIC3023· Pop. 67,146Brimbank

CAROLINE SPRINGS

MaturePremium-priced suburb — lower upside but defensive and liquid

Investor score

55

Liveability score

61

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$680,500

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

Real

2.9%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

3.1%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

1.7%

modelled estimate

AI insights for CAROLINE SPRINGS

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

CAROLINE SPRINGS shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$381/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+4.4%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

3.0

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.02%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.9%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

51 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Real

0.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$580k
2021
$630k
2022
$635k
2023
$640k
2025
$681k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

CAROLINE SPRINGS is a metropolitan VIC suburb with steady capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 2.9% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,905/wk

$76k taxable p.a.

Renters

21.8%

74.6% owner-occupier

Median age

35.0 yrs

Unemployment

4.3%

Population growth

+1.9% p.a.

Investor-owned

15.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

63%

20% apartments

Degree qualified

45.9%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

24.8%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

530 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

9.4%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

17.3 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

33 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

64.7%

Balanced market

Walkability

59 / 100

Very walkable

Coastal proximity

14.4 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTP

Fastest — full fibre to premises

Population density

2,050/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 3023

🏫9 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚3 Combined
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (9)

Kororoit Creek Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1082(79%)
1,156 students15:1 student–teacher46% girls33% top SEA quarter

Christ the Priest Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1062(73%)
494 students14:1 student–teacher50% girls28% top SEA quarter

St George Preca School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1047(67%)
728 students16:1 student–teacher51% girls18% top SEA quarter

Burnside Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1039(64%)
442 students15:1 student–teacher49% girls19% top SEA quarter

Cairnlea Park Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1023(57%)
776 students13:1 student–teacher49% girls15% top SEA quarter

Springside Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1019(55%)
976 students15:1 student–teacher48% girls11% top SEA quarter

St Peter Chanel School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1012(52%)
506 students12:1 student–teacher47% girls15% top SEA quarter

Deer Park West Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 989(42%)
389 students13:1 student–teacher49% girls8% top SEA quarter

Deer Park North Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 942(22%)
307 students11:1 student–teacher46% girls2% top SEA quarter

🎓Secondary (2)

Catholic Regional College Caroline Springs

Catholic · Yrs 7-10 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1045(67%)
1,079 students15:1 student–teacher49% girls18% top SEA quarter

Lakeview Senior College

Government · Yrs 10-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1004(49%)
1,049 students13:1 student–teacher51% girls10% top SEA quarter

📚Combined (3)

Southern Cross Grammar

Independent · Yrs Prep-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1136(92%)
904 students11:1 student–teacher49% girls54% top SEA quarter

Creekside K-9 College

Government · Yrs Prep-9 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1018(55%)
1,287 students14:1 student–teacher49% girls14% top SEA quarter

Brookside P-9 College

Government · Yrs Prep-9 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1013(53%)
1,225 students14:1 student–teacher48% girls14% top SEA quarter

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime
55/ 100

8.1 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average
1031ICSEA · national avg 1000

14 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good
50/ 100
🚆 4 train🚃 6 tram🚌 40 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

44

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

low

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

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