VIC3156· Pop. 38,484Casey

FERNTREE GULLY

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Liveability score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$821,200

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

Real

3.7%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-1.8%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

2.2%

modelled estimate

AI insights for FERNTREE GULLY

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

FERNTREE GULLY shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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AI suburb reportPREMIUM

A shareable, printable analysis of FERNTREE GULLY — investment outlook, liveability, risks & who it suits.

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Compare FERNTREE GULLY with nearby suburbs

Side-by-side on price, yield, growth, schools, safety & more.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$590/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+2.0%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

1.0

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.44%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+2.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

49 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.5%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Moderate supply

5-year price history

2020

$735k

2021

$865k

2022

$885k

2023

$852k

2025

$821k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

FERNTREE GULLY is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and moderate rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
Rental yield 3.7% with stable tenant demand
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,948/wk

$78k taxable p.a.

Renters

18.1%

79.6% owner-occupier

Median age

40.0 yrs

Unemployment

2.1%

Population growth

+2.1% p.a.

Investor-owned

14.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

67%

24% apartments

Degree qualified

47.6%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

24.6%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

520 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

6.4%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

31.2 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

35 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

67.6%

Strong demand

Walkability

3 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

24.6 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

1,737/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 3156

🏫8 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚1 Combined⭐1 Special

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (8)

St John the Baptist School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1075(77%)

221 students12:1 student–teacher49% girls24% top SEA quarter

Mountain Gate Primary School