NSW2323· Pop. 26,051Lake Macquarie

GREENHILLS

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

49

Liveability score

47

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$826,200

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

Real

4.0%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-3.4%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

2.0%

modelled estimate

AI insights for GREENHILLS

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

GREENHILLS shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$640/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+2.8%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

0.3

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

3.21%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.8%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

52 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.1%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$485k
2021
$630k
2022
$688k
2023
$675k
2024
$700k
2025
$855k
2026
$826k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

GREENHILLS is a NSW suburb offering moderate rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

  • Rental yield 4.0% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,541/wk

$56k taxable p.a.

Renters

32.2%

65.0% owner-occupier

Median age

39.0 yrs

Unemployment

4.2%

Population growth

+1.5% p.a.

Investor-owned

11.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

88%

8% apartments

Degree qualified

22.5%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

20.0%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

780 m²

Large block

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

1.8%

Mostly long-term tenants

Market activity

Distance to CBD

129.0 km

Regional

Days on market

28 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

46.1%

Buyer's market

Walkability

6 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

25.0 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

881/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 2323

🏫6 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚4 Combined2 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (6)

St Joseph's Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1063(73%)
449 students18:1 student–teacher51% girls28% top SEA quarter

Ashtonfield Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1008(50%)
514 students16:1 student–teacher47% girls17% top SEA quarter

Maitland East Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 975(36%)
559 students14:1 student–teacher43% girls9% top SEA quarter

Mulbring Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Inner Regional

ICSEA 954(27%)
56 students14:1 student–teacher43% girls7% top SEA quarter

Tenambit Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 893(9%)
283 students12:1 student–teacher51% girls3% top SEA quarter

Metford Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 887(8%)
265 students12:1 student–teacher45% girls2% top SEA quarter

🎓Secondary (2)

Maitland Grossmann High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 960(29%)
900 students12:1 student–teacher48% girls8% top SEA quarter

Maitland High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 947(23%)
958 students11:1 student–teacher47% girls8% top SEA quarter

📚Combined (4)

Hunter Valley Grammar School

Independent · Yrs K-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1134(92%)
1,161 students9:1 student–teacher48% girls54% top SEA quarter

Maitland Christian School

Independent · Yrs K-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1047(67%)
832 students15:1 student–teacher54% girls23% top SEA quarter

Linuwel School Ltd

Independent · Yrs K-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1041(65%)
244 students11:1 student–teacher52% girls24% top SEA quarter

OneSchool Global NSW - Maitland

Independent · Yrs 3-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 975(36%)
108 students7:1 student–teacher53% girls1% top SEA quarter

Special (2)

Arise Christian College

Independent · Yrs U · Major Cities

ICSEA 971(34%)
61 students8:1 student–teacher43% girls5% top SEA quarter

Hunter River Community School

Government · Yrs U · Major Cities

ICSEA 958(28%)
70 students4:1 student–teacher27% girls6% top SEA quarter

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
95/ 100

0.6 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Average
987ICSEA · national avg 1000

14 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Limited
26/ 100
🚆 0 train🚌 9 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

18

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

medium

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

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Location

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