VIC3159· Pop. 966Cardinia

Menzies Creek

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth
34SoftInvestor score
Weak020Soft2140Balanced4160Strong6180Standout81100

Below average on yield, growth or affordability

Beats 21% of VIC suburbs

#2,735 of 3,474 in VIC · #15,613 of 17,753 nationally

Liveability score

51/ 100

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$824,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

Real

3.8%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-0.8%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

2.5%

modelled estimate

Investment checklist

The parameters investors screen on, checked against Menzies Creek.

8 of 15

checks passed

Cash flow

2/4

Growth drivers

1/4

Supply & demand

2/2

Risk

0/1

Location quality

3/4

15 parameters · 15 with data for Menzies Creek · 11 of those from government sources

Gross rental yieldREAL

Annual rent as a share of price — the headline cash-flow measure, before costs.

3.79%

3.5% or higher

Vacancy rateEST.

Under 2% is a landlord's market; above 3% means falling rents and letting-up periods.

2.5%

under 2%

New-supply pipelineREAL

New dwellings approved as a share of existing stock. The most reliable growth killer — lots of cranes caps prices.

0.4%

under 2% of stock

Net yield (after costs)EST.

Gross yield minus rates, insurance, management and maintenance — typically 1.5–2 points lower.

2.97%

2.5% or higher

Rental demandEST.

Composite of tenant competition — how quickly a vacancy is likely to fill.

49/100

60 or higher

Annual price growthREAL

Most long-run return comes from growth compounding on the whole asset, not your deposit.

-0.8%

4% or higher

5-year growth (p.a.)REAL

Medium-run trend — less noisy than a single year.

2.7%

4% or higher

10-year growth (p.a.)REAL

Whether the market has compounded through a full cycle, not just a boom.

4.6%

5% or higher

Population growthEST.

Demand growth — but it only lifts prices where supply can't easily respond.

2.1%

1% or higher

Owner-occupier shareREAL

Owner-heavy streets hold up in downturns; investor-heavy ones see correlated selling.

91.8%

65% or higher

Safety indexREAL

Tenant demand and owner-occupier appeal both track perceived safety.

16/100

60 or higher

School quality (ICSEA)REAL

Catchment strength is the most durable driver of family-buyer demand.

1083

1000 or higher

Transit accessREAL

Commute access widens the tenant pool and supports rents.

78/100

40 or higher

WalkabilityREAL

Amenity within walking distance is consistently capitalised into price.

1/100

40 or higher

UnemploymentREAL

Local income security underwrites both rent payment and buyer depth.

1.9%

under 4%

12 more checks on Menzies Creek

Every parameter with its value, the threshold it's judged against, and why it matters — on all 17,958 suburbs.

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What each parameter means

Verify these yourself

No dataset covers everything. These matter to the decision and we don't hold them — here's where to look.

  • Days on market

    How fast stock clears is a leading indicator — it moves before prices do. We have no free suburb-level source for it.

    Count active listings on realestate.com.au or Domain and check their listing dates, or ask two local agents.

  • Auction clearance

    Buyer competition at the margin. Only meaningful where auctions are actually common — in outer and regional suburbs most sales are private treaty, so a clearance rate says little.

    Your state's Real Estate Institute publishes weekly clearance rates by region.

  • Flood risk

    Drives insurance cost and, increasingly, insurability — which caps the resale pool. No free national dataset exists at suburb level; it is mapped council by council.

    Search your council's flood overlay or planning portal for the specific address — risk varies street by street, so a suburb-wide rating would mislead even if we had one.

  • Bushfire risk

    Same insurance exposure, plus rebuild-standard costs inside designated zones.

    Check your state's designated bushfire-prone area mapping — NSW Planning Portal, VIC's BPA layer on VicPlan, Queensland Globe, or WA's Map Viewer Plus.

  • Strata and body corporate costs

    For units this can swallow a third of gross rent, and a special levy can arrive without warning.

    Ask for the strata report and the last two years of minutes before you offer.

  • What the street is actually like

    Suburb medians average over streets that trade very differently — a main road, a flight path or a commission block will not show up in any of the figures above.

    Walk it at night and on a weekday morning. Nothing on this page substitutes for that.

AI insights for Menzies Creek

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

Menzies Creek shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

AI insights locked

Investment analysis · Risk assessment · Suburb comparisons

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data (0 sales). Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent · houses

Real

$600/wk

DFFH · nearest published area · Sep 2025 · weekly

Median rent · units

Real

$520/wk

DFFH · nearest published area · Sep 2025 · weekly

Demand change

+1.7%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

1.5

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.97%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+2.7%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

49 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Real

0.4%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Low supply pressure

Dwellings built (VIC)

Real

54,599

completed in year to Mar-2026 · ABS 8752.0 (state)

9.6% vs prior year · 55,261 started

Price & rent growth

How Menzies Creek has moved — and whether rent has kept pace with price

Median price+5.7%

2023 – 2025

2023
$838k
2025
$885k

No house rent history here yet.

Price from government sales (annual), rent from bond lodgements (monthly or quarterly, depending on the state). Periods with too few sales to form a median are excluded. Postcode 3159 figures cover every suburb sharing it.

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

Menzies Creek is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and moderate rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 3.8% with stable tenant demand
  • Tight new-supply pipeline (0.4% of stock) — limited new competition supports prices
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,298/wk

$78k taxable p.a.

Renters

6.7%

91.8% owner-occupier

Median age

41.0 yrs

Unemployment

1.9%

ABS SALM (SA2)

Population growth

+2.1% p.a.

Projected growth

+0.3% p.a.

state gov forecast

Socio-economic

9/10

SEIFA IRSAD decile · ABS

Investor-owned

16.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

100%

0% apartments

Degree qualified

40.4%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

24.9%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

530 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

6.3%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

39.3 km

Regional

Walkability

1 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

31.4 km

Inland

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

1,733/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 3159

🏫2 Primary
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (2)

Selby Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1109(86%)
165 students14:1 student–teacher47% girls43% top SEA quarter

Menzies Creek Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1057(71%)
67 students8:1 student–teacher36% girls25% top SEA quarter

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime
16/ 100

11.9 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Above average
1083ICSEA · national avg 1000

2 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Excellent
78/ 100
🚆 2 train🚌 23 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

42

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

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Location

Properties in Menzies Creek

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Common questions about Menzies Creek

What is the median house price in Menzies Creek?

The median house price in Menzies Creek, VIC 3159 is $823,800 (2025), sourced from Victorian government data.

What is the average rent in Menzies Creek?

The median rent in Menzies Creek, VIC 3159 is $600 per week, from state bond-lodgement data. That works out to a gross rental yield of about 3.8%.

Is Menzies Creek a good investment?

Menzies Creek, VIC 3159 scores below average against our investment checklist, at 34 out of 100, with a gross yield of about 3.8%, estimated annual growth of -0.8%, a median around $823,800. Yield and growth figures are modelled estimates, so use them to compare suburbs rather than as a forecast. The full checklist on this page breaks the score into cash flow, growth, supply and risk.

Is Menzies Creek a safe suburb?

Menzies Creek scores 16 out of 100 for safety, which is below the national average. The score is built from state police offence data for this area, not resident sentiment.

What are the schools like in Menzies Creek?

Menzies Creek has 2 schools in or near the suburb, with an average ICSEA of 1083 — slightly above the Australian average of 1000. ICSEA is ACARA's index of educational advantage.

How far is Menzies Creek from the city, and what is transport like?

Menzies Creek is about 39 km from the CBD, with a public-transport score of 78 out of 100, calculated from actual train, tram and bus stops nearby, with a Walk Score of 1.

Answers are generated from the data on this page. Figures marked as estimates are modelled, not recorded transactions.

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