MINCHINBURY
Investor score
54
Liveability score
45
Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.
Median price
Real$900,000
NSW VG · 2026
Rent yield
Real3.1%
computed from govt data
Annual growth
Real-5.8%
annualised from govt data
Vacancy rate
Est.1.3%
modelled estimate
AI insights for MINCHINBURY
Investment analysis, risks & comparisons
MINCHINBURY shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.
Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.
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Median rent
$530/wk
NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026
Demand change
+3.7%
annual shift
Yield × growth index
-1.3
combined signal
Net yield (est.)
1.25%
after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance
5-yr growth (CAGR)
+7.2%
est. compound, long-run avg
10-yr growth (CAGR)
+9.1%
est. compound, long-run avg
Rental demand
50 / 100
Moderate demand
Supply pipeline
Est.3.9%
new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate
High supply risk
5-year price history
Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources
Market overview
MINCHINBURY is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.
Highlights
- Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
- Rental yield 3.1% with stable tenant demand
- Very low vacancy rate — high rental demand
- Access to national transport network and amenities
Risk factors
- Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
- Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions
Community profile
Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23Median household income
$1,326/wk
$77k taxable p.a.
Renters
49.3%
47.6% owner-occupier
Median age
33.0 yrs
Unemployment
3.0%
Population growth
+1.3% p.a.
Investor-owned
8.0%
of all dwellings (ATO)
Houses
58%
24% apartments
Degree qualified
42.9%
bachelor's or higher (ABS)
Work from home
22.0%
of employed residents (ABS Census)
Median lot size
470 m²
Standard block
Household size
2.3 persons
avg per dwelling (ABS Census)
Short-term rental
3.2%
Some Airbnb activity
Market activity
Distance to CBD
38.9 km
Regional
Days on market
26 days
Normal turnover
Auction clearance
64.3%
Balanced market
Walkability
49 / 100
Very walkable
Coastal proximity
38.9 km
Inland
NBN technology
HFCFast — fibre to node + coaxial
Population density
1,304/km²
Suburban
Schools in postcode 2770
🏫Primary (17)
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs P-6 · Major Cities
Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs P-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs P-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs P-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs P-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs P-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities
🎓Secondary (5)
Catholic · Yrs 10-12 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs 11-12 · Major Cities
Chifley College Mount Druitt Campus
Government · Yrs 7-10 · Major Cities
Chifley College Bidwill Campus
Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities
Chifley College Shalvey Campus
Government · Yrs 7-10 · Major Cities
📚Combined (3)
Australian Islamic College of Sydney
Independent · Yrs K-12 · Major Cities
Independent · Yrs K-12 · Major Cities
St Bishoy Coptic Orthodox College
Independent · Yrs K-12 · Major Cities
⭐Special (3)
Government · Yrs U · Major Cities
Blacktown Youth College Incorporated
Independent · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs U · Major Cities
ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.
Liveability & safety
Safety index
Safe1.4 offences / 100 persons
Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25
School quality
Below average28 schools in postcode area
Source: ACARA My School 2025
Transit access
GoodSource: State GTFS feeds
Gentrification signal
41
/ 100
Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.
Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality
Environmental risk
Flood risk
Source: State GIS flood zone data
Bushfire risk
Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data
Storm risk
Coastal exposure + state climate
Live suburb intelligence
Fetching live data…Location
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