NSW2211· Pop. 17,610Canterbury-Bankstown

PADSTOW

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

50

Liveability score

59

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$1,496,750

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

Real

2.6%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-7.2%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

1.8%

modelled estimate

AI insights for PADSTOW

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

PADSTOW shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$740/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+4.7%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-2.3

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.61%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+9.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

58 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Real

1.9%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Moderate supply

5-year price history

2020
$960k
2021
$1202k
2022
$1228k
2023
$1282k
2024
$1573k
2025
$1612k
2026
$1497k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

PADSTOW is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 2.6% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,898/wk

$95k taxable p.a.

Renters

28.6%

67.5% owner-occupier

Median age

40.0 yrs

Unemployment

2.4%

Population growth

+3.0% p.a.

Investor-owned

20.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

59%

27% apartments

Degree qualified

42.6%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

28.0%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

570 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.6 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

13.3%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

19.3 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

26 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

66.4%

Strong demand

Walkability

5 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

13.0 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

2,682/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2211

🏫4 Primary1 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (4)

St Therese Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1079(78%)
200 students19:1 student–teacher48% girls27% top SEA quarter

Padstow Heights Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1053(69%)
297 students16:1 student–teacher42% girls23% top SEA quarter

Padstow North Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1036(62%)
305 students15:1 student–teacher43% girls18% top SEA quarter

Padstow Park Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1019(55%)
334 students11:1 student–teacher51% girls14% top SEA quarter

Special (1)

Caroline Chisholm School

Government · Yrs U · Major Cities

ICSEA 1004(49%)
104 students4:1 student–teacher27% girls11% top SEA quarter

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
82/ 100

1.9 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Average
1038ICSEA · national avg 1000

5 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good
57/ 100
🚆 2 train🚃 1 tram🚌 22 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

26

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

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