SHOALWATER
Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.
Median price
Est.$440,000
Modelled estimate · 2026
Rent yield
Est.3.9%
modelled estimate
Annual growth
Real5.0%
annualised from govt data
Vacancy rate
Est.1.8%
modelled estimate
AI insights for SHOALWATER
Investment analysis, risks & comparisons
SHOALWATER shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.
Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.
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Median rent
Est.$330/wk
modelled estimate · weekly
Demand change
+3.5%
annual shift
Yield × growth index
4.5
combined signal
Net yield (est.)
5.11%
after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance
5-yr growth (CAGR)
+11.7%
est. compound, long-run avg
10-yr growth (CAGR)
+4.8%
est. compound, long-run avg
Rental demand
65 / 100
Strong demand
Supply pipeline
Real0.0%
new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25
Low supply pressure
Dwellings built (QLD)
Real33,060
completed in year to Mar-2026 · ABS 8752.0 (state)
▼ 2.3% vs prior year · 43,284 started
Market overview
SHOALWATER is a QLD suburb offering moderate rental yield and steady price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.
Highlights
- Rental yield 3.9% with stable tenant demand
- Consistent annual growth of 5.0%
- Tight new-supply pipeline (0.0% of stock) — limited new competition supports prices
- Access to national transport network and amenities
Risk factors
- Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions
Community profile
Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23Median household income
$1,649/wk
$55k taxable p.a.
Renters
24.7%
68.6% owner-occupier
Median age
37.0 yrs
Unemployment
4.6%
ABS SALM (SA2)
Population growth
+2.9% p.a.
Projected growth
-0.0% p.a.
state gov forecast
Socio-economic
3/10
SEIFA IRSAD decile · ABS
Investor-owned
9.0%
of all dwellings (ATO)
Houses
88%
6% apartments
Degree qualified
16.6%
bachelor's or higher (ABS)
Work from home
14.2%
of employed residents (ABS Census)
Median lot size
870 m²
Large block
Household size
2.4 persons
avg per dwelling (ABS Census)
Short-term rental
4.1%
Some Airbnb activity
Market activity
Distance to CBD
513.1 km
Regional
Days on market
35 days
Normal turnover
Auction clearance
35.0%
Buyer's market
Walkability
0 / 100
Car-dependent
Coastal proximity
20.1 km
Coastal fringe
NBN technology
FTTCGood — fibre to curb
Population density
935/km²
Suburban
Schools in postcode 4702
🏫Primary (25)
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Remote
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
St Paul's Catholic Primary School
Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Remote
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Remote
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Remote
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Inner Regional
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Outer Regional
📚Combined (1)
Government · Yrs Prep-10 · Outer Regional
ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.
Liveability & safety
Safety index
High crime5.8 offences / 100 persons
Source: QLD Police · 2021-22 (division)
School quality
Below average25 schools in postcode area
Source: ACARA My School 2025
Transit access
LimitedSource: State GTFS feeds
Gentrification signal
19
/ 100
Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.
Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality
Environmental risk
Flood risk
Source: State GIS flood zone data
Bushfire risk
Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data
Storm risk
Coastal exposure + state climate
Cyclone risk
QLD/NT tropical cyclone zone
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Fetching live data…Location
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