VIC3121· Pop. 31,534Yarra

VICTORIA GARDENS

MaturePremium-priced suburb — lower upside but defensive and liquid

Investor score

59

Liveability score

73

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$1,375,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

Real

1.7%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-0.1%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

2.5%

modelled estimate

AI insights for VICTORIA GARDENS

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

VICTORIA GARDENS shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$450/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+4.0%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

0.8

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.26%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+0.1%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.7%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

52 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.6%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Moderate supply

5-year price history

2020
$1365k
2021
$1490k
2022
$1400k
2023
$1378k
2025
$1375k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

VICTORIA GARDENS is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 1.7% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,283/wk

$80k taxable p.a.

Renters

54.3%

43.6% owner-occupier

Median age

34.0 yrs

Unemployment

4.1%

Population growth

+2.4% p.a.

Investor-owned

14.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

21%

62% apartments

Degree qualified

54.6%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

27.5%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

120 m²

Apartment/strata

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

11.8%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

3.6 km

Inner city

Days on market

33 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

66.8%

Strong demand

Walkability

97 / 100

Walker's paradise

Coastal proximity

8.5 km

Near coast

NBN technology

HFC

Fast — fibre to node + coaxial

Population density

9,297/km²

Very dense urban

Schools in postcode 3121

🏫4 Primary🎓4 Secondary1 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (4)

Richmond Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1150(95%)
316 students15:1 student–teacher52% girls61% top SEA quarter

Yarra Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1134(92%)
249 students14:1 student–teacher53% girls52% top SEA quarter

Richmond West Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1075(77%)
281 students13:1 student–teacher49% girls43% top SEA quarter

Trinity Catholic School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1065(74%)
213 students12:1 student–teacher51% girls27% top SEA quarter

🎓Secondary (4)

Melbourne Girls College

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1142(94%)
1,531 students14:1 student–teacher100% girls58% top SEA quarter

Richmond High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1049(68%)
476 students11:1 student–teacher32% girls31% top SEA quarter

Bindjiroo Yaluk Community School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1021(56%)
79 students4:1 student–teacher33% girls25% top SEA quarter

Ignatius Learning Centre

Catholic · Yrs 11-12 · Major Cities

41 students7:1 student–teacher0% girls

Special (1)

Melbourne Indigenous Transition School

Independent · Yrs 7-8 · Major Cities

ICSEA 761(2%)
42 students6:1 student–teacher50% girls1% top SEA quarter

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime
53/ 100

14.1 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Above average
1050ICSEA · national avg 1000

8 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Excellent
95/ 100
🚆 4 train🚃 9 tram🚌 47 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

52

/ 100

Moderate momentum

Moderate indicators of demographic change. Young professionals, rising degree rates, and reasonable transit suggest gradual improvement.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

low

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

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