NSW2233· Pop. 29,960Sutherland

WATERFALL

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

59

Liveability score

80

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$1,350,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

Real

3.1%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-10.0%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

1.9%

modelled estimate

AI insights for WATERFALL

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

WATERFALL shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$800/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+6.1%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-3.5

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.69%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.8%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

57 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$950k
2021
$1120k
2022
$1230k
2023
$1220k
2024
$1393k
2025
$1500k
2026
$1350k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

WATERFALL is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 3.1% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,385/wk

$94k taxable p.a.

Renters

11.5%

86.1% owner-occupier

Median age

40.0 yrs

Unemployment

2.5%

Population growth

+2.9% p.a.

Investor-owned

16.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

57%

27% apartments

Degree qualified

43.2%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

30.8%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

610 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

7.1%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

32.0 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

27 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

66.7%

Strong demand

Walkability

72 / 100

Walker's paradise

Coastal proximity

20.9 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

HFC

Fast — fibre to node + coaxial

Population density

2,638/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2233

🏫8 Primary🎓3 Secondary📚1 Combined1 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (8)

St John Bosco Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1094(83%)
772 students19:1 student–teacher48% girls35% top SEA quarter

Yarrawarrah Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1081(79%)
249 students17:1 student–teacher47% girls35% top SEA quarter

Heathcote East Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1072(76%)
106 students14:1 student–teacher42% girls28% top SEA quarter

Marton Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1063(73%)
318 students18:1 student–teacher51% girls24% top SEA quarter

Engadine Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1059(72%)
411 students15:1 student–teacher49% girls26% top SEA quarter

Engadine West Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1057(71%)
541 students18:1 student–teacher48% girls22% top SEA quarter

Heathcote Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1056(71%)
273 students16:1 student–teacher53% girls22% top SEA quarter

Waterfall Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Inner Regional

ICSEA 1031(60%)
17 students11:1 student–teacher53% girls22% top SEA quarter

🎓Secondary (3)

St John Bosco College

Catholic · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1081(79%)
986 students14:1 student–teacher50% girls31% top SEA quarter

Engadine High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1051(69%)
1,063 students14:1 student–teacher49% girls21% top SEA quarter

Heathcote High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1028(59%)
633 students11:1 student–teacher48% girls13% top SEA quarter

📚Combined (1)

Southern Cross Baptist Church Christian School

Independent · Yrs K-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1108(86%)
42 students11:1 student–teacher62% girls35% top SEA quarter

Special (1)

Dunlea Centre, Australia's Original Boys' Town

Independent · Yrs 4-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 962(30%)
55 students6:1 student–teacher33% girls5% top SEA quarter

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
94/ 100

0.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Above average
1057ICSEA · national avg 1000

13 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Excellent
95/ 100
🚆 5 train🚃 1 tram🚌 52 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

36

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

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