NSW2229· Pop. 30,943Sutherland

WARUMBUL

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

47

Liveability score

84

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$1,465,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

Real

3.1%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-27.8%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

2.0%

modelled estimate

AI insights for WARUMBUL

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

WARUMBUL shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$880/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+3.5%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-12.4

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.69%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+15.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

54 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Real

1.1%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$1285k
2021
$710k
2022
$1700k
2023
$1120k
2024
$970k
2025
$2030k
2026
$1465k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

WARUMBUL is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 3.1% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,235/wk

$93k taxable p.a.

Renters

23.3%

73.5% owner-occupier

Median age

41.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.1%

Population growth

+2.8% p.a.

Investor-owned

19.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

63%

27% apartments

Degree qualified

46.6%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

29.8%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

600 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

13.4%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

22.3 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

30 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

66.2%

Strong demand

Walkability

85 / 100

Walker's paradise

Coastal proximity

10.7 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTP

Fastest — full fibre to premises

Population density

2,609/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2229

🏫6 Primary🎓3 Secondary1 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (6)

Lilli Pilli Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1113(88%)
323 students18:1 student–teacher49% girls44% top SEA quarter

Our Lady of Fatima Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1110(87%)
599 students18:1 student–teacher52% girls41% top SEA quarter

Caringbah Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1088(81%)
394 students15:1 student–teacher48% girls35% top SEA quarter

Caringbah North Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1086(80%)
538 students18:1 student–teacher46% girls32% top SEA quarter

Laguna Street Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1084(80%)
440 students19:1 student–teacher48% girls34% top SEA quarter

Taren Point Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1043(66%)
114 students17:1 student–teacher49% girls24% top SEA quarter

🎓Secondary (3)

Caringbah High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1172(98%)
908 students14:1 student–teacher38% girls65% top SEA quarter

De La Salle Catholic College, Caringbah

Catholic · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1078(78%)
536 students12:1 student–teacher0% girls29% top SEA quarter

Endeavour Sports High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1040(64%)
1,381 students14:1 student–teacher45% girls18% top SEA quarter

Special (1)

Sutherland Hospital School

Government · Major Cities

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
94/ 100

0.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Above average
1090ICSEA · national avg 1000

9 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Excellent
79/ 100
🚆 2 train🚃 2 tram🚌 21 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

31

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

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